I was taken back by the analysis of so many people . People have started blaming BJP's hindutva for it's collapse . Even BJP went down that tube of Secularism vs Hindutva when politics is far more nuanced . I would agree that the party got the drubbing because of hindutva had it lost ground in states like gujarat , karnataka , rajasthan , chattisgarh , Jharkhand , Bihar . These are the states that BJP had real organic presence . There was a reasonable amount of anti-incumbency against BJP in rajasthan because Raje was flamboyant and flamboyance is not politically correct in India . People in India prefer asceticism atleast a display of it . Raje's personal image has contributed to the fall . In Madhyapradesh the people who have been elected for 15-20 years now have lost it not by big margins though . In Maharastra there was not any wave against hindutva but was an act of Raj thackeray . So the core states where BJP exists organically remains intact increasing a seat or two in already saturated states . so how did the BJP rise in these states , is it not the strong hindu or nationalistic image of the party . In those states BJP is as much a nationalistic party as much as it is a hindu one . People voting for BJP know that BJP men are not that abhorrent haters that they carry deliberate programs to kill innocent people .
The real causes come now . The BJP's presence in AP , TN , Kerala , WB is zero . Together they are 150 seats . when the local parties raised the flag of third front people fretted the possibility of unstability and voted decisively against the thirdfront . The vote in these states is not against BJP but is against the third front . So again hindutva or the wave against it is not a reason but the prospect of political instability is the key factor . The resounding evidence to this analysis is the result in WB . It was inconceivable to shake the communist bastion if not the greater national concern of its people . The vote in WB is not a vote against hindutva or BJP but against instability and blackmailing communist politics . So how did hindutva and BJP lose this battle , we did not even fight in these four states . Our only mistake being our overt reliance on regional alliance without concentrating on growing the party organically . Since we did not have the organic presence our regional allies saw political merit in staying away from us . Had BJP possessed the strength to atleast garner 20-30 seats TDP might have longed to ally with it the way it allied with TRS . Lack of organic strength and not our hindutva that allowed our allies to sway .
As far as UP is concerned there are too many muscular players over there . Despite being the home state of Gandhi's they have struggled all these years to gain ground , you can imagine the complexity of the political battle . SP made a terrible mistake by allying with Mr Kalyan singh . He was associated with the demolition and event the top guys accept that action cost them muslim votes whose beneficiary normally is the congress party . There was a shift of votes from SP to cong and since you only require a small margin of the total votes in a battle of four players they made impressive gains . Even in UP there was not a vote against hindutva . we should be very careful in dispensing the core plank . So BJP sympathizers and critics should stop blaming Hindutva for it's defeat , Hindutva isn't the reason and indian politics is far more nuanced .
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