The Chinese threat ...

Saturday, October 17, 2009

After the recent visit to Arunachal pradesh by the prime minister China has 'demanded' that the PM not provoke them by making such tours . Dalai Lama's visit to Tawang late this year will be another TV time for me . Chinese were not 'demanding' such things so aggressively and so openly in the past . The recent chinese incursions into Indian territory and in some instances painting the rocks in the region 'red' had infuriated the media . There rose a typhoon of 'chinese threat' , confusing and terrifying ordinary citizens .


So for all those people who rants about the possibility of china attacking India before 2012 they would have tell us what political objective does the chinese have to wage a war against India ? The terriotarial claims of the chinese are vacuous . Tawang and Arunachal pradesh were supposed to be a part of Tibetan empire some where in history , and so everything Tibetan is Chinese , they claim .Tibet itself was forcefully occupied by Chinese . The question is will China wage a war and create an international crisis by waging a war for a piece of land that was never theirs . The people of Arunachal pradesh are completely Indian , they have accepted the Indian democracy so fondly that 70% of people turned out for the recent election . So why does the chinese achieve through such ranting ? Bargaining chips in the ongoing negotiations and pressure on India to stop any anti-chinese alliances in south-east asia and across pacific and Indian ocean with US , Japan , Australia and south eastern countries . It's a message that Chinese would raise the stakes for India in the region if it dares to have strategic relationships with it's ideological enemies . India might not have 60 submarines and chinese airforce could be 3 times the Indians but if India has a strategic military cooperation with US and Japan that would catapult it's defence preparedness and would nullify chinese military superiority .The border incursions , aggressive cooperation with south-eastern countries and Arunachal pradesh is a simple book tactic by the chinese .

Having said that i am for completely modernising and augmenting India's military strength proportional to it's threat and not rely on it's 'allies' . We have to engage with China economically and culturally to raise the stakes for both the countries if China decides on something crazy . If China ever wages a war against India then it's image will take a severe beating in the world and the entire free world will turn against china . Even without any of those allies India can inflict unacceptable damage to chinese economy by blocking out Indian ocean . Chinese did not build those beautiful cities only to be destroyed in a nuclear for a piece of land called Arunachal pradesh that was never theirs .while we shouldn't get into the business of predicting we shouldn't be unnerved by Chinese pressure tactics . We should pursue our strategic relationships with US and Japan in the region , increase our co-operation both militarily and economically with south eastern coutries which have conflicts with China like Vietnam , Indonesis , Malaysia and Singapore . We shall move in silence towards conflict resolution with China by engaging with them through more trade and cultural exchange .

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